The biggest distinction between investing and gambling lies in the significance attributed to probability, often referred to as luck,' and its counterpart, evidence.'
Investing in the unknown required a precise criterion for predicting the future; in which, the proportion of evidence' must surpass a certain threshold.
On the other hand, betting on sothing based solely on vague luck couldnt be deed an investnt; itd rely be a gamble at best. Acting on weak grounds also didnt qualify as an investntit was a gamble, plain and simple.
However, many individuals were unwilling to acknowledge that reality. They tend to exhibit overconfidence in weak evidence and place undue hopes in it.
Naturally, they often justified their actions in the guise of investnt, not recognizing it as re gambling.
Investnts initiated under such circumstances would result in an uncertain outco,' which had the probability to incur significant losses.
***
In the wake of the Comrcial War, the rchant Alliance of the Holy Empire faced a severe setback.
At the mont, those who were once part of the rchant Alliance or supported them were having a eting.
Most of the participants in the eting were deeply dissatisfied with the current situation.
"Bertina that wretched woman did it again, didn't she?"
"Succeeding in Eastern trade once moreshe's truly a terrifying adversary. Her abilities are undeniably admirable."
"Now isn't the ti for admiration. We must devise a counterasure, and quickly!"
"You're absolutely right. If this continues, the entire comrcial sphere of the Empire will slip entirely into the hands of the Uranus rchant Company. We can't afford to idly stand by!"
Following their defeat in the comrcial war, they were barely holding on. However, those gathered here hadn't given up entirely.
Fortunately, after the war, Bertina and the Uranus rchant Company, didn't display much aggression apart from their Eastern trade endeavors. During this respite, the Alliance, though gasping for breath, steadily gathered strength, preparing for a counterattack.
"Now that Bertina is caught off guard, this might be our final opportunity."
"If Uranus rchant Company gains control of Eastern trade and its imnse profits, there'll be no hope left for us."
With hopes of a dramatic reversal, the mbers of the rchant Alliance, once spread throughout continental comrce beyond the Empire, channeled their remaining strength into crafting a decisive yet flawless strike.
The outco unfolded unexpectedly, posing an unforeseen crisis for the Uranus rchant Company and Bertina.
***
"What what does this an? None of the rchants here in Benessa have co to buy spices?"
"That's correct. A few days ago, we were flooded with inquiries about prices, but now there's complete silence."
"This this can't be real"
Bertina's expression tightened at the unforeseen situation, prompting Bahamut to issue imdiate orders in her stead.
"Ophelia, go and investigate the situation right away. Not just you, but all mbers of the Beden rchant Company present here. Find out what's going on!"
"Yes, My Lord."
"Bertina, this is no ti to be passive."
"Oh y-yes. Tilda, please accompany ."
"Of course, Lady Bertina."
The two hurried off to assess the situation.
As they departed, Bertina stumbled, feeling montarily dizzy.
"Milady, are you alright?"
"I-I'm fine I just need to grasp the situation first"
Despite having soone to rely on in this absurd situation, Bertina couldn't shake off the worry.
Why was no one purchasing the spice, an essential commodity?
Sothing was gravely amiss!
There must be soone behind this soone who orchestrated it and I have a suspicion about who that might be'
Bertina collected her thoughts, organizing her mind amidst the chaos.
Observing her, Bahamut couldn't help but feel deeply concerned, his lips pressed together in worry.
This is a disaster spices constitute 60% of our traded goods. If they don't sell, both Uranus rchant Company and us will suffer imnse losses.'
Externally, the stake was believed to be 5%, but in reality, the Beden rchant Company held a significant 37% stake in this trade. As the stakes increased, so did the responsibility, and Bahamut found himself in a position where he had to resolve the current predicant.
This is causing a headachethis wasn't part of the original story. There's no clear solution since this situation arose due to a deviation from the established plot.'
Bahamut struggled under the pressure, trying to devise an appropriate strategy without the certainty of the future.
With an uncertain future ahead, he clung to the belief that his unique experiences set him apart, pushing himself to find a solution while anxiously awaiting Ophelia's return with crucial information.
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