Watching the German Republic's economy running on a successful path despite experiencing the Ruhr crisis, I begin to have fundantal questions about this Treaty of Versailles.
The Treaty of Versailles, which prevented nothing and achieved nothing.
Though it's full of various military and economic restrictions and content about paying enormous reparations to Belgium and France, if there's one thing the victor nations commonly agreed on while making that treaty, it's just this one thing.
'Originally they planned to raise them up to eat them.'
Looking rationally, the Treaty of Versailles' victor import bans, export restrictions, and tariff abolition all co down to just one word.
Trade deficit.
Yes. That treaty wasn't ant to make reparations and prevent Germany from rising again, but rather when Germany grows, rebuilds, and develops the nation, the victor nations hoped to share that growth.
Have more trade with Germany, but make the defeated nation bear all trade deficits.
'In the end, it couldn't even function properly due to excessive reparations.'
Plus since content was much relaxed after the Ruhr situation and Germany is reviving, clearly that treaty achieved nothing.
Then why did the victor nations try to put a leash on Germany in such a complicated and difficult way?
Because they feared Germany's uprising?
Because they feared Germany's military power?
Or, just because they played colonialism so much they lost judgnt to the point of seeing even Germany as a colony?
Though partly correct perhaps, fundantally wrong.
Because they clearly saw late 19th century Germany growing like a bull during the Belle Époque era from beside them.
The German Empire with 4.9% average annual growth.
Can you imagine the jealousy, envy, and fear that 1.6% France and 2.4% Britain felt when they maintained such growth rates for nearly 10 years?
All those emotions were finally contained in the Treaty of Versailles after 20 years passed.
Russia? At that ti we...
'Since that was during Witte's Finance Minister period... it was the 8-9% annual average era.'
We're an exception since we were slightly separated from the Western world and it was a period of catching up on delayed growth.
It's not for nothing that Sergei Witte is praised as the great Pri Minister.
Though this part isn't history that changed through my actions so even I find it hard to understand, anyway.
The ultra-high growth period Witte led.
The great boom that continued after settling Far Eastern hegemony and advancing into China in the early 20th century.
To the roaring twenties earned by avoiding isolation after the war.
The Russian Empire has run an endless path of growth for over 30 years.
Germany too. Though they fell once, at this rate they're expected to surpass not only France but even Britain in just three years.
Then what's the difference between Germany, Russia and that Western world when depression cos?
Regarding this question, Kokovtsov and I reached an answer long ago.
"We're a poor country. Though our dostic market is growing and we're transforming into an industrial nation, that history isn't long."
"You an the wealth accumulated by the entire nation is different?"
"Since when did we have so much money? Weren't we a country where Leo Tolstoy had to release new works if it didn't rain in spring?"
"Haa, there were such sad tis indeed."
It hasn't been long since our Slavic people started living like proper humans.
Self-employed farrs sohow increased by giving them land as assets through agricultural reform.
Workers who left rural hotowns for cities and saved money through long labor.
Both Germany who fell once from defeat and our Russia are the sa.
When depression cos, this middle class that both countries barely raised will collapse. Find your next adventure on My Virtual Library Empire
"Know what's more miserable here?"
"What is it?"
"Colonies will shine. Just as the Treaty of Versailles tried to put a noose on Germany, they will pass all trade deficits and debt mountains to their colonies. But who can we pass this pain and sorrow to? China? Eastern Europe? The Balkans?"
None. They're not colonies to be unilaterally exploited, and they're nations we must maintain friendly relations with at least outwardly.
"...Then though cruel, perhaps colonial empires might be better at overcoming crisis."
"Kokovtsov, I hate to acknowledge that. It's disgusting how they pass things to others when they lack the ability to overco themselves."
Though that much might just be at the level of great power tyranny, what's truly disgusting cos next.
"Every ti famine ca in the past, nobles' and large landowners' lands only grew. The longer economic recession continues, they'll plunder everything."
This is no different from claiming "Wow! The economy grew!" after swelling assets by robbing others' things rather than creating profit through production.
The more we taste prosperity again in the 20s, the more certain it becos.
Depression is coming.
This can't be avoided or prevented.
This is why Stolypin beca the third Pri Minister.
If Witte and Kokovtsov worked for the Empire's reform and developnt, his role is the opposite.
"Long-term recession, Kokovtsov and I are calling this the Great Depression."
He must make sure this country doesn't collapse.
==
Though deciding to raise Stolypin was just half a year ago, there were criteria for the next Pri Minister from quite long ago.
'Soone who won't be swept up in politics.'
Though the Duma might feel betrayed as undemocratic, the third Pri Minister will inherit power comparable to previous Pri Ministers.
Sotis power needs to be concentrated to overco crisis.
'Next, soone capable in finance, economy, and administration.'
The reason Minister Jugashvili was excluded from candidates. He lacked experience and wasn't as capable as Stolypin in administration and finance.
'Finally, soone who can move according to my will. Precisely, soone who will move for and the Empire rather than themselves.'
Rather than soone gaining power through election, whether direct or indirect, from a party's selected representative, it becos soone I appoint.
aning I am the party, and the very legitimacy of Pri Minister power itself.
Like so president shouting "Stupid, it's the economy!", such aspects might not be greatly faulted during good tis but different during recession.
The third Pri Minister can't be great like Witte or noble like Kokovtsov.
He must slash the Empire with a knife under the na of surgery while rolling through dogfights.
Sotis he must create scapegoats and not hesitate even at things thought unjust.
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